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Working on ice

In 2007, the fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recognized that the region didn’t have enough scientific data to determine what was happening with climate change in the Himalayas. There were speculations of glaciers melting completely, leaving rivers dry in the very near future.

David James Molden

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Today, 10 years later, the situation is different as there has been a flurry of scientific activities to fill in key knowledge gaps of glaciers, snow, their changes, and the meaning for mountain people and downstream in the Hindu Kush Himalayas. This knowledge is critically important as we need to know the impact of climate change and how to adapt to changes.

What I learned on a recent trip to Langtang area is that on-the-ground information about glaciers is incredibly difficult to obtain. After five days of walking to reach the Yala glacier above 5000m, we encountered snowfall and reduced visibility. Nevertheless, the Yala team of glaciologists consisting of ICIMOD staff, partners, and students, led by ICIMOD glaciologists Dorothea Stumm and Sharad Joshi persisted over the next 5 days to bring back precious data about the glacier, its movement, and new data about deposition of black carbon.

Today, the Upper Langtang area is one of the most monitored glacier areas in the HKH, providing critical on-the-ground data and information from four key glaciers of Yala, Lirung, Khimjung, and Langtang, and other weather and hydrologic data from surrounding areas. The Langtang area serves as a meeting point for many regional and international glaciologists and glacier hydrologists, and a training ground for young students, including many from Kathmandu University.

ICIMOD has taken a key role in bringing knowledge about the glaciers right across the Hindu Kush Himalayas through our Cryosphere Monitoring Work supported by the Norwegian government and our core donors. Led by the Initiative Coordinator Pradeep Mool, our approach covers several dimensions targeted towards obtaining a holistic and complete picture of the area. This includes satellite remote sensing to get an overview of changes in snow and glaciers; detailed field work to better understand glacier dynamics, currently in Nepal and Bhutan; new methods of data collection including the use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles; and training a new cadre of glaciologists and glacio-hydrologists. All the data collected are used in glacio-hydrological models to understand and forecast changes in the hydrological regime.

ICIMOD plays a significant role as a knowledge hub to convene experts and scholars from around the world. For example, in the past we have brought glaciologists from many institutes together to discuss and advance knowledge on the state of the cryosphere, and this is something we will continue to do. In March 2015 ICIMOD hosted the International Glacier Symposium bringing together more than 100 cryosphere scientists in Kathmandu to discuss measurements, modeling, and interpretation of glaciological and cryospheric changes in high mountain Asia. We also participate in other initiatives like the Third Pole Environment (www.tpe.ac.cn) meetings.

Our remote sensing results show that over the 30-year period glacier area has declined by 23% in Bhutan (http://lib.icimod.org/record/29316) and 24% in Nepal (http://lib.icimod.org/record/29591/files/GSN-RR14-2.pdf). The report ‘Water and Climate Atlas of the Hindu Kush Himalayas’ shows that glaciers are declining in all regions except in the Karakorum mountains where some, but not all glaciers, are advancing (http://lib.icimod.org/record/31180). Modeling studies also paint a disturbing picture of the future with significant loss of glaciers in the Everest region (https://www.icimod.org/?q=18340) and beyond. ICIMOD has been active in identifying glacier lakes across the region and identifying dangerous ones, and we are pleased that action is being taken to lower the glacial lake at the terminus of the Imja Glacier. The Government of Bhutan also undertook a similar activity of lowering the water levels of the Thorthormi Lake (https://www.icimod.org/?q=5524). A large part of our program is aimed at helping mountain communities to adapt to the impacts of climate change (http://nepalitimes.com/article/nation/melting-mountains-shake,3073). This includes work with communities directly impacted by glaciers, such as in the Gilgit district in Pakistan where many villages directly use glacier water for irrigation and drinking.

The people of Langtang Valley suffered immensely when entire villages were wiped out in a moment of total destruction. They are now rebuilding their livelihoods. As trekking slowly resumes in this beautiful area it will help support their activities. It is heartening to know that a Martian crater was recently named Langtang to honor the village of Langtang (http://j.mp/23cQXet). ICIMOD’s weather station and other scientific equipment were also damaged by the 2015 earthquake. Despite this our cryosphere scientists decided to continue their work.

Through the work of many glaciologists and cryosphere scientists, including ICIMOD, we are starting to get a better picture of what is happening in the high mountains. However, the work has just begun, and I feel we will be in a good position when we can really apply this information for communities and governments in the HKH.

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11 Dec 2023 China
2023年国际山岳日:恢复山地生态系统

山地被广泛认为是生物多样性的发源地,其陡峭的斜坡孕育了各种繁复的生命形式。这些地区作为自然的庇护所变得愈发重要:虽然它们只占据了地球总面积的四分之一,却容纳了地球上85%的两栖动物、鸟类和哺乳动物。这种丰富的自然资源在联合国教科文组织的738个全球生物圈保护区中得到体现,其中明显超过一半位于山区。 然而,令人担忧的是,这些自然资源的非凡丰富正面临威胁。过去,由于偏远或地形困难,山地得以免受人类干扰,但如今这种状况逐渐减少。曾经被视为大自然摇篮和避难所的山地正在逐渐转变成墓地。在兴都库什-喜马拉雅地区,上个世纪就已经失去了70%的生物多样性。这些损失,包括物种的灭绝,如今正以加速度增长,正如ICIMOD的重要评估报告《兴都库什喜马拉雅的水、冰、社会和生态系统》(简称《HIWISE报告》)所指出的那样。 在公众、政治和外交层面,人们越来越认识到自然是我们当前危机中最重要的解决方案之一。联合国已宣布2021-2030年为生态系统恢复十年,去年,《昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架》的指导下,全球100多个政府承诺在2030年之前将30%的陆地和海洋保留给自然,其中包括兴都库什-喜马拉雅地区。今年,在联合国全球气候大会COP28上,自然首次成为讨论的核心议题。 这些努力,以及今年国际山岳日的“生态系统恢复”主题,为恢复和保护山区景观提供了迫切需要的推动力。那么,我们的八个成员国离实现“30x30”目标有多近呢?到目前为止,不丹是唯一一个实际超额达标的国家,其51.4%的土地面积已经属于各种保护区类别。 尼泊尔只有不到24%的土地受到保护;中国仅为16%,略高于目标的一半;巴基斯坦占12%;印度为8%;缅甸为7%;孟加拉国为5%,阿富汗为4%。 令人担忧的是,在整个兴都库什-喜马拉雅地区,自然资源仍然丰富的关键区域仍处在保护之外:67%的生态区、39%的生物多样性热点、69%的关键生物多样性区域以及76%的重要鸟类和生物多样性区都没有得到保护。 现有的保护区域犹如在人类改变过的景观中的“孤岛”,缺乏与其他保护区域的连通走廊,无法满足广泛分布的物种需求,并且面临非法捕猎、侵占和资源开采的压力。现有的保护区域不足以确保成功保护我们地区的象征性物种,包括亚洲象、独角犀牛和孟加拉虎。 一个尚未尝试的解决方案是建立跨界生物圈保护区,这将允许在景观层面进行综合保护。实现这一目标需要跨越国家边界的共同政治承诺,并在共享生态系统的管理方面展开合作。ICIMOD将积极推动我们区域成员国接受这一解决方案。 然而,底线是,要扭转自然的损失,我们必须对其进行估值并提供相应的资金支持。只要经济学家继续将其价值定为零,就不会引起足够的重视。在进行估值之前,拥有大量自然资本但经济欠发达的国家将因为缺乏3A信用评级而难以以较低贷款利率借款。必须为该地区的国家提供更便宜的资本来促使自然的恢复:这是ICIMOD将与我们的成员、多边开发银行和其他机构紧急合作推进的事项。为了防止地球系统完全崩溃,我们必须为大自然提供一个适宜的生存环境,这一观点从未像现在这样显而易见。

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