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The Road Ahead

David James Molden

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Last December more than 400 experts on climate change and climate change resilience gathered on our campus in Kathmandu to discuss ways to help HKH communities prepare for shocks, recover from shocks, and bounce forward stronger than before.

This was our Resilient HKH conference and it proved a fitting way to end a successful 2017, as the assembly brought together people from around the world and around the HKH with a shared focus to preserve the health and strength of mountains and mountain communities.

The conference produced a series of 12 action points, including calls to promote and strengthen regional cooperation, support the development of entrepreneurs (especially among women and youth), and promoting ICIMOD as a regional forum for knowledge generation and dissemination.

And while we were proud of that conference and what it accomplished, we turned immediately to face the New Year and the many social and environmental challenges that still confront the HKH region.

To do this, we focus on two important documents that represent countless hours consultation with partners, of hard work and planning from ICIMOD staff, and feedback and approval from our Board: the Strategy and Results Framework (SRF), and the Mid-Term Action Plan IV (MTAP). Together these documents will provide ICIMOD’s path for the next five years.

ICIMOD’s work is designed to achieve specific results that produce transformative change in the lives of mountain people. The SRF provides a five-year roadmap we will follow to achieve those results: adoption of innovative practices, developed human and institutional capacity, and a strong role influencing policy, among others.

ICIMOD delivers impact through its six Regional Programmes, and the SRF outlines the vision of each one, including the outcomes the programme expects to achieve, and—this is key—how they will measure their progress. We will build on experience with regional approaches to ecosystem and water management, on climate change, air quality, and disaster risk management. At the community level, we address issues related to youth, migration, and gender equality. We search for, identify and test, the means to outscale different options for livelihood diversification, and consider the role of markets for realizing opportunities with high-value niche products and sustainable tourism.

The SRF firmly places ICIMOD in its proper niche as a regional knowledge sharing and generation organization where we can apply tools like remote sensing, but also where we can bridge the gaps between science, policy and practice.

Perhaps most importantly, the SRF takes stock of ICIMOD’s experience working in the HKH, drawing upon the lessons we’ve learned over the past 35 years. What works, what doesn’t work, what could work but needs some adjustment? Questions like these have informed the SRF and illustrate the kind of self-reflection and stakeholder consultation necessary to address the many complex challenges of today’s mountain world.

While the SRF provides the vision, the MTAP offers the work plan for achieving our goals, detailing the steps we will take to realize our shared goals. This five-year plan provides details on how ICIMOD works to put research into use, measures its impact, and develops innovative methods for transdisciplinary work, partnership building, private sector collaboration, and outscaling solutions.

At centre of our work are the men, women and children of HKH and their relationship with the mountain environment. To ensure inclusive development in this region, mountain voices and issues need more recognition in policy making at national, regional and global levels. The MTAP provides special focus on how we aim to achieve this influence and how we will work to improve regional cooperation through the HKH.

Finally, as we move hopefully into 2018, we want to thank our eight government supporters, who have helped develop and approved these two key documents. With their guidance, we feel strong and assured moving into the next five years working for mountains and people in the HKH.

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在兴都库什-喜马拉雅,全民早期预警尚需更及时的实现

由气候驱动的风暴、洪水、热浪和干旱的经济代价首次被计算出来,即在过去20年中,人类付出的代价已达到1600万美元/小时。其中,三分之二的费用是由于生命损失,剩下的则是因为财产和其他资产损失。 而这不仅是兴都库什-喜马拉雅的统计数据。今年,在我们整个地区,气候灾害给许多家庭来了难以承受的损失:数百人丧生,更多的房屋、农作物和财产在毁灭性的洪水和山体滑坡中被毁。最近,上周锡金蒂斯塔河(Teesta river)爆发冰川湖溃决洪水,这清楚地提醒了人类,大自然的愤怒是无止境的。 今年的国际减灾日与我们区域内的家庭、科学家和政策制定者共同评估了季风和全球升温给人类和经济带来的沉重代价,恰逢其时。 展望未来,气候驱动的灾难将激增。联合国减少灾害风险办公室(UNDRR)预计,到2030年,我们每年将看到560起灾难,使3760万人陷入极端贫困。 科学表明,我们处在风险热点地区。不仅与极端降雨和冰冻圈变化相关,还有热浪、干旱和空气污染。因此,在计算这次季风事件的成本时,我们所有为该地区及其居民服务的人都有责任以更高的速度和更强的雄心,将科学、政策和行动联系起来,实现让所有人都能得到早期预警的目标。 我们急需捐助者深入了解该地区居民所面临的风险,无论是从危险量级和程度来看,还是从受影响的人口规模来看。我们迫切需要适应基金、绿色气候基金和儿童投资融资基金更快地分配到该地区,以及加强补偿机制的运作。 在ICIMOD,我们将在全球范围内倡导双方,还将在整个地区努力建立一种围绕防灾和数据共享文化;对政策制定者进行差异和关键行动领域的教育;为社区配备创新及可行的技术,并扩大以社区为基础的洪水预警系统。 我们所在地区的情况表明,全球范围内面临的灾害存在着巨大的不平等。我们的研究发现,当危机来临时,妇女和弱势群体受到的影响尤为严重。 为了消除这种不平等,我们郑重承诺通过整合工具、知识和资金,确保该地区居民能够有效抵御未来的冲击,并将妇女和弱势群体纳入我们战略的核心。对于兴都库什-喜马拉雅的国家而言,全民早期预警尚需更及时的实现。   白马·嘉措 总干事

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