Projections of Future Energy Demand and Supply Options in the HKH, 2015-2016

Lack of spatially disaggregated energy demand data for the HKH in all ICIMOD member countries except Nepal and Bhutan makes any projection of HKH-specific future energy demands overly complicated.  This study makes an attempt to generate a database of HKH specific energy demand using both the ‘top-down’ and ‘bottom-up’ approaches and undertakes sectoral energy demand projection from 2013 to 2030 using a LEAP model.  Under BAU scenarios, the total energy demand in 2030 in the HKH is projected to reach 7.46 exajoule (EJ) with 57% of this demand being accounted for by the household sector followed by industry (22%).  Under the current state of energy data deficit in the HKH, the study stresses an urgent need for establishing a sound HKH-specific energy database for evidence based policy making. The study is being synthesised for knowledge product generation and dissemination. 

For more information, contact
Golam Rasul
Theme Leader, Livelihoods